Despite a wet spring, a significant portion of New Brunswick is currently experiencing moderate drought conditions, raising concerns for the upcoming summer season. The latest report from the Canada Drought Monitor by Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, reflecting data up to April 30, indicates abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions prevailing throughout the province, with the exception of the northwest region.
This situation represents a slight improvement from the severe drought observed in certain areas of the province last month. As of February 28, central New Brunswick was facing extreme drought conditions. Senior environmental scientist Matthew Alexander, holding a PhD in groundwater hydrology and working at Fundy Engineering, mentioned that the drought conditions in spring are somewhat uncommon and are a consequence of the dry period experienced last summer.
Last year’s data from the Canada Drought Monitor highlighted signs of drought as early as July 31, with a significant portion of the province classified as abnormally dry, and the eastern regions facing moderate to severe drought conditions. By August 31, the entire province was under moderate to extreme drought conditions.
Alexander emphasized that starting the season with a deficit could lead to challenges, especially considering the predicted hot and dry summer ahead. According to Environment and Climate Change Canada’s seasonal forecast, there is a 66% chance of above-normal temperatures from July to September.
While precipitation levels remain uncertain, with equal probabilities for above, normal, and below-average precipitation, Alexander warned that a repeat of last summer’s dried-up wells could be on the horizon for many New Brunswickers. The recovery of water levels in the groundwater may take months to years, depending on the severity of this coming summer’s dry conditions.
Encouraging water conservation, New Brunswick authorities urge residents to take proactive measures, as sustained and continued precipitation will be crucial to maintaining progress. Although there have been improvements, both surface water and groundwater levels are still below average as of April.