As the Lok Sabha election counts begin this morning in India, capping an 80-day long marathon polling process, Prime Minister Narendra Modi is aiming for a record-tying third consecutive term in office, while the opposition bloc in India hopes to pull off a surprise, NDTV reports.
Although the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), has long been considered the front-runner in the polls, there is much riding on the ruling coalition’s ability to win and expand into new areas, said the report published today.
The opposition has even greater stakes because of its shrinking national footprint, NDTV said.
However, exit polls consistently predict that the NDA will come closer to achieving Modi’s lofty “400 paar” goal for his alliance than the INDIA bloc is to even surpass the 180-point threshold, or one-third of the total number of seats.
While historically all parties have reluctantly accepted electoral verdicts, opposition parties’ questions this time around about the polling process, including Election Commission, have a stronger edge.
The bitterness between the two opposing camps during the campaign has permeated the post-election accusations as the exit polls indicated a landslide victory for the ruling alliance, a prediction that Congressman Rahul Gandhi brushed off as a “Modi media poll” in the lead-up to the counting.
Leaders of the INDIA bloc, who have been raising doubt on the electronic voting machines (EVMs), marched to the European Commission (EC) and urged the poll watchdog to adhere to the counting guidelines. They also accused the prime minister of sending a message to bureaucracy through these “fantasy” exit polls.
In a counter-attack, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has requested that the Election Commission (EC) stop any attempt at “violence and unrest” during the vote-counting process, accusing its opponents of attempting to compromise the integrity of India’s electoral process.
Modi framed the BJP’s campaign around the opposition’s “appeasement politics”, accusing the Congress and its allies of handing over a chunk of the reservation meant for the Other Backward Classes (OBC) to Muslims and allegedly eying people’s family assets to further its “redistribution of wealth” agenda, the report said.
The issues of national and cultural pride, the government’s welfare schemes and the overall political stability and economic growth also figured prominently in the speeches of BJP leaders, even though they were accused by the opposition of running a divisive and communal campaign to polarise votes.
The EC has dismissed the opposition’s attack on its conduct of polls, with Chief Election Commissioner (CEC) Rajiv Kumar daring it on Monday to share evidence of attempts to influence the polling process, according to the report.
The results will show if the Congress has it in its organisation and leadership to challenge the BJP amid its reducing footprint across the country since 2014. It has failed to get even the main opposition party status in two consecutive Lok Sabha polls and has been reduced to a pale shadow of itself in several states, especially in the Hindi heartland.
Its leaders, including President Mallikarjun Kharge and principal campaigner Rahul Gandhi, have claimed that their alliance will get 295 seats in the 543-member Lok Sabha, marking an end of the Modi era.
INDIA bloc leaders believe that their alliance has been able to shape the poll narrative around its planks of welfarism and an alleged threat to the Constitution from an all-powerful saffron onslaught, and will get popular support.
Modi will equal the country’s first prime minister Jawaharlal Nehru’s record of leading his party to three straight electoral victories if the BJP retains power
An uncertain future also hangs over the fate of the Left, besides many regional parties including the Trinamool Congress (TMC), Biju Janata Dal (BJD) and YSR Congress, which are in power in West Bengal, Odisha and Andhra Pradesh respectively.
Modi has spearheaded a concerted BJP push to gain further in strength in the two eastern states, where the party surprised everyone by emerging as the powerful second force in 2019, and the exit polls have suggested that it may topple the two regional parties from the top position in these polls.
Assembly polls were held in Odisha alongside the national election and the BJP and the BJD, which has been in power in the state since 2000 under Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik’s leadership, are locked in a fierce battle for power. Assembly polls were also held simultaneously in the YSRCP-ruled Andhra Pradesh.
Another issue that has drawn the limelight is whether the BJP will be able to emerge as a strong force in Tamil Nadu and the Left-ruled Kerala, two states where it has currently no seats but is predicted to win a few this time.
A poor show by the Left will further darken its prospects nationwide as Kerala is the only state where it remains a strong force after being knocked of reckoning in its former strongholds of Bengal and Tripura.
Always confident of his return to power, Prime Minister Modi has already penned an article about his vision for the country, posted on X about people’s support to the NDA and rejection of the opposition, and held a meeting with top officials on the “new government’s agenda” for the first 100 days.
The results are also expected to spell out the people’s verdict on the fate of regional stalwarts like Sharad Pawar and Uddhav Thackeray, whose parties have joined hands with the BJP and who have run an intense campaign to win over people’s support for their factions.
The verdict will also be out on a number of Union ministers, including Piyush Goyal, Bhupender Yadav, Sarbananda Sonowal and Dharmendra Pradhan, all Rajya Sabha members asked by the BJP to contest the polls, and former chief ministers, such as the BJP’s Shivraj Singh Chouhan, Basavaraj Bommai, Trivendra Singh Rawat and the Congress’s Digvijay Singh and Bhupesh Baghel. Besides Prime Minister Modi, who contested the election from Varanasi for a third straight term, senior members of his cabinet, such as Amit Shah and Rajnath Singh, are in the fray, and the margins of their win will be watched out for as well.
